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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Rural Studies >How agricultural practices managing market risk get attributed to climate change? Quasi-experiment evidence
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How agricultural practices managing market risk get attributed to climate change? Quasi-experiment evidence

机译：农业实践如何管理市场风险归因于气候变化？ 准实验证据

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摘要

Whereas adaptations to climate change in the agriculture sector are well studied, non-climatic drivers thereof are considerably less explored. This is particularly true for market related factors. Every change in farming practices is attributed to climate change. This article presents new evidence of how adaptations to market risks may be incorrectly attributed to climate change risk because of causal attribution bias emerging from poorly structured survey instrument and response inducing questions. Through a quasi-experiment administered on 400 rural fanning households from four districts of Pakistan, we demonstrate that when farmers are not sensitized about climate change prior to questions on adaptations they assign market factors such as availability of new market opportunities, improved purchasing power, and net profitability as major reason for changes in sowing date, growing new crop verity and use of fertilizers. To be exact, less than 2% and 1% of farmers indicated climate change as the reason behind the change in crop variety and use of fertilizers respectively. Similarly, only 10% of farmers associated late sowing with climate change. Findings of the study imply a stronger role of the market-related factors in changing agricultural practices over the time asking policymakers to design better market-based interventions and incentives for increasing the adaptation in the agriculture community. Findings have also implications for mix method research and can be generalized for all research fields involving survey design.
机译：虽然对农业部门的气候变化的适应很好，但探索了非气候驱动因素。这对于市场相关因素尤其如此。农业实践的每一切变化都归因于气候变化。本文提出了新的证据，即对市场风险的适应性可能因气候变化风险而被错误地归因于因因果归因偏见，从结构性不良的调查仪表和应对诱导问题出现。通过对来自巴基斯坦四个地区的400家农村扇动家庭进行的准实验，我们证明农民在关于适应性问题之前对气候变化的敏感时，他们分配了新的市场机会，改善了购买力等市场因素，以及提高购买力净盈利能力作为播播日期变化的主要原因，增长新的作物真实和肥料的使用。确切地说，不到2％和1％的农民指出了气候变化，因为分别是作物各种和肥料的变化的原因。同样，只有10％的农民与气候变化有关的播种。该研究的调查结果暗示了市场相关因素在改变农业实践时期的时间令人更强烈的作用，要求政策制定者设计更好的基于市场的干预措施和激励措施，以增加农业社区的适应。调查结果也对混合方法研究的影响以及可以推广涉及调查设计的所有研究领域。

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