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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Simulation >Modelling the complete continuum of care using system dynamics: the case of osteoarthritis in Alberta
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Modelling the complete continuum of care using system dynamics: the case of osteoarthritis in Alberta

机译:使用系统动态建模完整的护理连续性:亚伯大的骨关节炎的情况

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摘要

Estimating how many patients will require care, the nature of the care they require, and when and where they will require it, is critical when planning resources for a sustainable health-care system. Resource planning must consider how quickly patients move among stages of care, the various different pathways they may take and the resources required at each stage. This research presents a preliminary long-term, population-driven system dynamics simulation developed to support resource planning and policy development relating to osteoarthritis care. The simulation models osteoarthritis patients as they transition through the continuum of care from disease onset through end-stage care, and provides insight into the size and characteristics of the patient population, their resource requirements and associated health-care costs. Although the model presented is specific to the osteoarthritis care system in the Province of Alberta, Canada, similar methods could be applied to develop simulations relating to other chronic conditions.
机译:估计有多少患者需要关心,所需的护理性质以及他们需要的时间以及何时以及在何处,当计划资源为可持续保健系统时至关重要。资源规划必须考虑患者在护理阶段移动的速度,各种不同的途径以及每个阶段所需的资源。本研究提出了一种初步的长期人口驱动的系统动态模拟,以支持与骨关节炎护理有关的资源规划和政策发展。仿真模型骨关节炎患者随着终级护理通过疾病发病的连续性转换,并对患者人口的大小和特征,资源要求和相关的医疗费用提供了深入了解。虽然所呈现的模型特异于加拿大艾伯塔省省的骨关节炎护理系统,但可以应用类似的方法来开发与其他慢性病有关的模拟。

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