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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Development Economics >Preparing for genocide: Quasi-experimental evidence from Rwanda
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Preparing for genocide: Quasi-experimental evidence from Rwanda

机译：制备种族灭绝：来自卢旺达的准实验证据

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摘要

This paper shows how state-controlled community meetings can facilitate large-scale mobilization of civilians into violence. We analyze a Rwandan community program that required citizens to participate in community work and political meetings every Saturday in the years before the 1994 genocide. We exploit cross-sectional variation in meeting intensity induced by exogenous weather fluctuations, and find that a one standard-deviation increase in the number of rainy Saturdays before the genocide decreased civilian violence by 17 percent. We find evidence that the meetings provided an arena for local elites to spread propaganda and bring people together. In research and policy, community meetings are often treated as positive, community building forces. Our results indicate that they can also lead to negative outcomes. This should, however, not suggest that such meetings are inherently destructive. Instead, community meetings should be understood as powerful tools and their effects depend on the political intention of the leaders.
机译：本文显示了国家控制的社区会议如何促进平民的大规模动员暴力。我们分析了一个卢旺达社区计划，要求公民在1994年种族灭绝之前每周六参加社区工作和政治会议。我们利用外源性天气波动引起的会议强度的横断面变化，发现在种族灭绝的雨后周六的数量下降一个标准偏差增加17％。我们发现会议为当地精英提供了一个竞技场，以传播宣传并将人们聚集在一起。在研究和政策中，社区会议经常被视为积极的社区建设部队。我们的结果表明，它们也可以导致负面结果。但是，这应该没有表明此类会议本质上是破坏性的。相反，社区会议应该被理解为强大的工具，它们的效果取决于领导者的政治意图。

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