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Analysis: Bearish China steel market facing weak end to year

机译:分析:面对年底疲软的中国钢铁市场

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China's steel market has become bearish due to weak economic data, a slump in demand in consumer segments and a realization that the steel production cuts over winter may not be as pronounced as last year. Meanwhile, the ongoing tensions between the US and China play out in the background, further eroding sentiment. The domestic market for long steel remains resilient on fairly robust construction demand, but the flat steel market is weak and traders indicate they may step up their exports in the coming months. But many of China's overseas customers are waiting to see where domestic prices will settle before committing. All-in-all, this is likely to put pressure on raw materials markets in the remainder of 2018. Chinese steel market sentiment slumped to a 28-month low in November, forcing mills and traders to potentially lift exports again, according to the latest S&P Global Platts China Steel Sentiment Index (CSSI), which showed a headline reading of just 15.23 out of a possible 100 points. (A reading above 50 indicates expectations of an increase/expansion and a reading below 50 indicates a decrease/contraction.)
机译:由于经济数据疲软、消费领域需求下滑,以及人们意识到冬季钢铁减产可能不像去年那么明显,中国钢铁市场已变得悲观。与此同时,美国和中国之间持续的紧张局势在背景下进一步恶化,进一步削弱了人们的情绪。由于建筑需求相当强劲,长钢的国内市场仍有弹性,但扁钢市场疲软,贸易商表示,他们可能会在未来几个月增加出口。但中国的许多海外客户都在等待国内价格在哪里稳定下来,然后才做出承诺。总而言之,这可能会在2018年剩余时间给原材料市场带来压力。根据最新的标准普尔全球普氏中国钢铁情绪指数(CSSI),11月中国钢铁市场情绪跌至28个月低点,迫使钢铁厂和贸易商有可能再次提振出口。该指数显示,在可能的100点中,标题读数仅为15.23点。(读数高于50表示预期增加/扩张,低于50表示减少/收缩。)

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