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首页> 外文期刊>Annals of epidemiology >Epidemiologic methods developments: a look forward to the year 2032.
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Epidemiologic methods developments: a look forward to the year 2032.

机译：流行病学方法的发展：展望2032年。

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摘要

This article responds to a request by the Editors for a perspective on potential epidemiologic methods developments between now and the year 2032 when the American College of Epidemiology will have its 50th Annual Meeting. The response begins by describing the need for enhanced methods in epidemiologic research and goes on to suggest some approaches to satisfying such needs. The suggested approaches include the more extensive use of biomarkers for exposure assessment, the greater standardization of data analysis and reporting methods, and enhancement of the interplay between observational studies and randomized controlled trials. It is argued that a phased approach to epidemiologic hypothesis evaluation may often be needed, with hypotheses that are promising in observational studies subjected to controlled trials having well-selected intermediate outcomes. It is also argued that a multidisciplinary, coordinated community of scientists interested in disease risk estimation and disease prevention will beneeded for epidemiologic research to fulfill its potential over the next 25 years.
机译：本文应编辑的要求，对从现在到2032年美国流行病学学会第50届年会之间潜在的流行病学方法发展的观点进行回应。应对措施首先描述了流行病学研究中对增强方法的需求，然后提出了满足此类需求的一些方法。建议的方法包括更广泛地使用生物标志物进行暴露评估，数据分析和报告方法的更大程度标准化以及增强观察性研究与随机对照试验之间的相互作用。有人认为，可能经常需要采用阶段性的流行病学假设评估方法，假设这些假设在进行对照试验的观察性研究中具有良好的选择，这些试验具有良好的中间结果。也有人认为，对疾病风险估计和疾病预防感兴趣的多学科，协调一致的科学家社区将需要流行病学研究来发挥其在未来25年的潜力。

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