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首页> 外文期刊>Annals of epidemiology >Estimating the number of serious road injuries in the Netherlands.
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Estimating the number of serious road injuries in the Netherlands.

机译：估算荷兰的严重道路伤害人数。

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摘要

PURPOSE: This paper describes a new estimation method of the number of road injuries in The Netherlands. METHODS: The bases for this method are the hospital inpatient registry and the police crash record database. Both databases contain errors and omissions. The police database in particular suffers from serious underreporting, and is also inaccurate in indicating injury severity. The hospital database is inaccurate in indicating that a patient was involved in a road crash. Nonetheless, in principle it contains all serious road injuries. After linking both databases an estimating method, inspired by capture-recapture, was used to estimate the number of road injuries. The differences in registration for transport mode, injury severity, and region of crash have been taken into account. RESULTS: This leads to an estimation of the number of serious road injuries in the Netherlands in 1993-2008. CONCLUSIONS: We found that 85% of the road injuries are recognizable as such in the hospital registry. The registration rate of the police registry is different for road injuries in crashes involving motorized vehicles (58% in 2008) and for road injuries in crashes not involving motorized vehicles (4% in 2008).
机译：目的：本文描述了一种新的估算荷兰道路伤害人数的方法。方法：该方法的基础是医院住院登记处和警察事故记录数据库。这两个数据库均包含错误和遗漏。警察数据库尤其遭受严重的漏报，并且在指示伤害严重性方面也不准确。医院数据库不准确，表明患者卷入了道路交通事故。尽管如此，原则上它包含所有严重的道路伤害。在将两个数据库链接在一起之后，采用了一种基于捕获再捕获的估算方法来估算道路伤害的数量。已考虑到运输方式，伤害严重性和碰撞区域的注册差异。结果：这导致对1993-2008年荷兰严重道路伤害的数量进行估算。结论：我们发现在医院登记处可识别出85％的道路伤害。警察登记册的登记率在涉及机动车事故的道路伤害中有所不同（2008年为58％），与未涉及机动车事故的道路伤害（2008年为4％）不同。

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