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首页> 外文期刊>Applied Geography >Modelling inter-provincial migration in Burkina Faso, West Africa: the role of socio-demographic and environmental factors
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Modelling inter-provincial migration in Burkina Faso, West Africa: the role of socio-demographic and environmental factors

机译：模拟西非布基纳法索的省际迁移：社会人口和环境因素的作用

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摘要

This study analyses the factors that cause inter-provincial migrations in an African context (Burkina Faso, West Africa), focusing specifically on the role of environmental factors in driving large migration flows in ecologically marginal regions. It uses statistical methods for modelling migration data to assess the relative importance of socio-demographic and biophysical variables. The former included the percentage of the population who are male, literacy and economic activity rates, and the presence of a resettlement policy. The latter included measures of land degradation, land availability and climatic variability, which vary considerably between different regions of the country. The results demonstrate that, as expected, demographic and socio-economic characteristics of Provinces were associated with migration patterns, and that environmental variables were also significant. However, the contribution of environmental variables in the explanation of migration was slightly lower than for thesocio-demographic variables. The results show that inter-provincial migrations in Burkina Faso are influenced by high literacy and economic activity rates at the origin and destination, a high proportion of men at the origin, a low proportion of men atthe destination, as well as by unfavourable conditions concerning rainfall variability, land degradation and land availability at the origin, and favourable conditions at the destination for these variables.
机译：这项研究分析了在非洲背景下（布基纳法索，西非）造成跨省移民的因素，特别关注了环境因素在推动生态边缘地区的大规模移民流动中的作用。它使用统计方法对迁移数据进行建模，以评估社会人口统计学和生物物理变量的相对重要性。前者包括男性人口的百分比，识字率和经济活动率以及是否有重新安置政策。后者包括土地退化，土地可利用性和气候变异性的度量，在该国不同地区之间差异很大。结果表明，正如预期的那样，各省的人口统计和社会经济特征与迁徙模式有关，环境变量也很重要。但是，环境变量在解释迁移方面的贡献略低于社会人口统计学变量。结果表明，布基纳法索的跨省移徙受原籍和目的地的高识字率和经济活动率，原籍男子的比例高，目的地男子的比例低以及有关的不利条件的影响这些变量的源头是降雨多变性，土地退化和土地可利用性，目的地是有利条件。

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