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Model simulation of inflow water to the Baltic Sea based on 129I

机译:基于129I的波罗的海入水模型模拟。

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摘要

The semi-enclosed Baltic Sea represents a vital economic and recreational resource for more than 90 million people inhabiting its coasts. Extensive contamination of this sea by a variety of anthropogenic pollutants has raised the concern of the people in the region. Quantifying seawater inflow is crucial for estimating potential environmental risks as well as to find the best remedial strategy. We present here a model to estimate water inflow from the North Sea to the Baltic Sea by utilizing 129I as a tracer. The results predicted inflow range of 230-450km3/y with best fit value around 330km3/y from the North Sea to the Baltic Sea during 1980-1999. Despite limited time series data on 129I, the model presented here demonstrates a new management tool for the Baltic Sea to calculate inflow water compared to conventional methods (such as salinity, temperature and hydrographic models).
机译:半封闭的波罗的海为居住在其海岸的9000万人提供了重要的经济和休闲资源。各种人为污染物对海洋的广泛污染引起了该地区人民的关注。量化海水流入量对于估计潜在的环境风险以及找到最佳的补救策略至关重要。我们在这里提出一个模型,以利用129I作为示踪剂来估算从北海到波罗的海的水流入量。结果预测1980-1999年期间从北海到波罗的海的流入量范围为230-450km3 / y,最佳拟合值约为330km3 / y。尽管有关129I的时间序列数据有限,但与常规方法(例如盐度,温度和水文模型)相比,此处介绍的模型演示了波罗的海用于计算流入水的新管理工具。

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