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首页> 外文期刊>Applied Soft Computing >How do you perceive environmental change? Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping informing stakeholder analysis for environmental policy making and non-market valuation
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How do you perceive environmental change? Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping informing stakeholder analysis for environmental policy making and non-market valuation

机译：您如何看待环境变化？模糊认知映射为利益相关者分析提供环境政策制定和非市场评估的信息

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摘要

In spite of considerable progress in our understanding of ecosystem functioning, our ability to design effective and enforceable environmental policies requires a deep understanding of human perceptions and beliefs. In this respect, what is called today stakeholder analysis is an eclectic mixture of qualitative and semi-quantitative techniques aiming at eliciting, understanding and de-codifying how individuals perceive risks and threats towards sustainability. Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping (FCM) is gradually emerging as an alternative methodology capable of assisting researchers in the domain of environmental policy. We explored the promise that FCM holds to support environmental policy makers. We suggest FCM approach as a new participatory method in environmental policy: through aiding in Multi-stakeholder (actor) analysis for risk assessment, capturing values and scenarios construction. To show how this is feasible we try to answer three basic questions: How cognitive mapping can support decision-making? How FCM can support environmental decision-making? How simulation of concepts may help in communicating stakeholders' views to environmental decision makers? Then we explore the potential application of FCM in environmental policy, especially in environmental economics, trying to substantiate economic values for nature providing 'flesh and bones' to the concept of economic preferences.
机译：尽管我们对生态系统功能的理解有了长足的进步，但我们设计有效且可实施的环境政策的能力仍需要对人类的观念和信念有深刻的理解。在这方面，今天所谓的利益相关者分析是定性和半定量技术的折衷组合，旨在引发，理解和消除个人对可持续发展的风险和威胁的认识。模糊认知映射（FCM）逐渐成为一种能够在环境政策领域协助研究人员的替代方法。我们探索了FCM支持环境政策制定者的承诺。我们建议FCM方法作为环境政策中的一种新的参与性方法：通过协助多利益相关方（参与者）分析进行风险评估，获取价值和情景构建。为了说明这是可行的，我们尝试回答三个基本问题：认知映射如何支持决策？ FCM如何支持环境决策？概念模拟如何帮助将利益相关者的观点传达给环境决策者？然后，我们探索了FCM在环境政策（尤其是环境经济学）中的潜在应用，试图证实自然界的经济价值，为经济偏好概念提供“骨肉”。

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