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Forest Cover in Tunisia Before and After the 2011 Tunisian Revolution: a Spatial Analysis Approach

机译:森林覆盖在突尼斯之前和之后的2011年突尼斯革命:空间分析方法

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A spatio-temporal analysis of Tunisian forests over the 8 years from 2007 to 2014 is presented in this study. We compare the extent of the forest loss 4 years before and after the 2011 Tunisian revolution using estimates from Global Forest Change Data (GFCD) for 11 governorates located in northern Tunisia. Results show that forest losses have almost tripled from 32 km~2 in the period from 2007 to 2010 compared to 90 km2 for 2011–2014, with an annual increment estimated at 3.06 km~2 per year. Among the 11 governorates studied, only the governorates of Bizerte and Nabeul revealed a statistically significant difference (p value < 0.05) between the means of the forest loss recorded before the revolution and those registered during the post-revolution period. At the delegation level, a significant positive spatial autocorrelation (p value < 0.05) was revealed for both periods, with Moran's I values of 0.14 and 0.06 before and after the revolution, respectively. The location of forest loss varied over the years with hot spots occurring in the Bizerte, Jendouba, and Béja governorates between 2007 and 2010 and in Bizerte and Le Kef governorates from 2011 to 2014. This study is the first attempt to map changes to forest cover in Northern Tunisia, which may help the development of proper forest conservation and management strategies in the country.
机译:突尼斯的时空分析森林从2007年到2014年在8年在这项研究中。森林的减少前后4年2011使用估计全球突尼斯革命森林改变数据(GFCD) 11个省位于突尼斯北部。森林的损失已经从32公里~ 2几乎增加了两倍从2007年到2010年相比,90平方公里2011 - 2014年,年度增量估计每年2 ~ 3.06公里。研究,只比塞大的个省Nabeul显示统计学意义之间的差异(p值< 0.05)的方法森林的减少在革命之前的记录和那些在革命后注册时期。积极的空间自相关(p值< 0.05)显示两个时间,莫兰的我吗0.14和0.06之前和之后的值革命,分别。损失变化多年来与热点比塞大发生,Jendouba,贝沙族个省在2007年和2010年之间,比塞大和毒品个省从2011年到2014年。研究首次尝试修改地图在突尼斯北部森林覆盖,这可能帮助适当的森林保护和发展管理策略。

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