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US olefins seem to heading for sustained oversupply

机译:我们似乎烯烃走向持续供应过剩

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Sources say that US olefins prices can be expected to remain weak for much of 2016. According to data from the American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers (AFPM) trade group, US steam crackers made 14.9B lbs (6.78MM mt) of ethylene in 3Q 2015, up from 14.4B lbs (6.55MM mt) the quarter before and from 13.8B lbs (6.27MM mt) in 3Q 2014. Meanwhile US spot prices fell to a seven-year low in Dec. 2015, falling to 17.75¢/lb by mid-month. Ethylene futures are currenuy in contango (Jan. material is trading at a 2¢/lb premium to Dec, and 2Q material at a 4.0-4.5¢/lb premium) due to upcoming turnarounds, but sources not that those projects will increase total US capacity, implying continued weakness further out.
机译:消息人士称,美国烯烃价格可以预期为2016年的大部分时间里依然疲弱。数据来自美国燃料和石化制造商(AFPM)贸易集团,美国的蒸汽饼干了14.9磅(6.78毫米mt)的乙烯2015年第三季度,14.4磅(6.55毫米太)季前和从13.8磅(6.27毫米太)3 q 2014。七年2015年12月低,降至17.75¢/磅到8月中旬。期货溢价(1月材料目前2¢/磅溢价12月和2问材料¢-4.5 4.0 /磅溢价)由于即将到来的转场,但来源不是,这些项目将会增加能力,这意味着进一步持续疲软出去了。

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