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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management >Freshwater vulnerability in the Levant region
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Freshwater vulnerability in the Levant region

机译：黎凡特地区的淡水脆弱性

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Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to discuss freshwater vulnerability to environmental change, including climate change, in Levant countries.Design/methodology/approach - The paper uses the methodological guidelines prepared by UNEP and Peking University, using the fresh water vulnerability index (VI) for each country of the Levant region. The VI was calculated for a five-year period interval, i.e. 1985,1990,1995,2000,2005, and was predicted for the years 2020 and 2040 taking into consideration the expected impacts of climate change. Findings - The vulnerability of freshwater resources was explored by isolating strategically-important issuesrelated to different functions (uses) of freshwater systems in the Levant region. All Levant countries are very vulnerable according to the adopted methodology (VI values are from 0.5-0.7), with Palestine being the worst case. The value of each parameter was calculated for five-year interval period and for each Levant country. The most dominant parameter was the water variation parameter (RSv), which is a natural factor and highlights how vulnerable the region is to climate change. The second most important parameter was the water exploitation pressures (DPs), which reflect the efforts of the countries to satisfy their water needs from the limited water resources. Cooperation and exchange of data and information at the regional level regarding the vulnerability of the region to climate change and measures for mitigation and adaptation could help in alleviating its impacts on the countries of the region. Originality/value - This paper highlights that fresh water resources in Levant region are under increasing pressures due to human-made and natural reasons. High population growth and economic activities rates have placed extensive pressure on the already limited water resources. Moreover, the prevailing arid climate and the expected impact of climatechange will decrease the fresh water availability.
机译：目的-本文的目的是讨论黎凡特国家的淡水对环境变化（包括气候变化）的脆弱性。设计/方法/方法-本文采用了联合国环境规划署和北京大学制定的方法学准则，使用了淡水脆弱性指数（ VI）黎凡特地区的每个国家/地区。该VI的计算间隔为五年，即1985,1990,1995,2000,2005，并在考虑到气候变化的预期影响的情况下对2020和2040年进行了预测。调查结果-通过隔离与黎凡特地区淡水系统的不同功能（用途）相关的战略上重要的问题，探索了淡水资源的脆弱性。根据所采用的方法，所有黎凡特国家都非常脆弱（VI值在0.5-0.7之间），巴勒斯坦是最坏的情况。每个参数的值是在五年间隔期间和每个黎凡特国家/地区计算得出的。最主要的参数是水变化参数（RSv），这是自然因素，突显了该地区对气候变化的脆弱性。第二个最重要的参数是水资源开发压力（DPs），它反映了各国为满足有限水资源需求而做出的努力。在区域一级就该区域对气候变化的脆弱性以及缓解和适应措施的数据与信息的合作与交流可以帮助减轻其对该区域各国的影响。原创性/价值-本文着重指出，由于人为和自然原因，黎凡特地区的淡水资源面临越来越大的压力。高人口增长和经济活动率给已经有限的水资源带来了巨大压力。此外，盛行的干旱气候和气候变化的预期影响将减少淡水供应。

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