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首页> 外文期刊>International journal of medical microbiology: IJMM >Ixodes ricinus seasonal activity: Implications of global warming indicated by revisiting tick and weather data
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Ixodes ricinus seasonal activity: Implications of global warming indicated by revisiting tick and weather data

机译：x虱的季节性活动：通过回顾tick虱和天气数据表明全球变暖的含义

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摘要

A recent climate experiment predicted that average maximum summer temperatures ill southern regions of the British Isles may approach 30 degrees C by the year 2020. An opportunity for retrospective analysis of the implications of such a change for tick phenology and disease transmission was presented by the coincidence of unusually high early summer temperatures in 1976 with the collection of tick data from sites in Ireland where host availability was controlled. Subsequent identification of diapause threshold periods and simulation of temperature-dependent tick development showed that high summer temperatures call cause mass transfer of ticks between development cohorts, resulting in increased activity and therefore increased disease transmission in late autumn and early spring. This Suggests that in northern temperate regions of Europe global warming is likely to cause changes in the seasonal patterns of tick-borne diseases. (c) 2007 Elsevier GmbH. All rights reserved.
机译：最近的一项气候实验预测，到2020年，不列颠群岛南部地区夏季的平均最高夏季气温可能接近30摄氏度。这种巧合为tick性物候和疾病传播的影响提供了回顾性分析的机会。 1976年从爱尔兰控制主机可用性的站点收集的滴答数据收集到了异常高的初夏温度。随后确定了滞育阈值期并模拟了温度依赖性tick的发育过程，结果表明夏季较高的气温导致cause生群体之间tick的质量转移，从而导致活动增加，因此在秋末和初春疾病传播增加。这表明在欧洲北部温带地区，全球变暖可能导致壁虱传播疾病的季节性变化。 （c）2007 Elsevier GmbH。版权所有。

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