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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Rural Management >Growth, employment, exports and Wagner's law: evidence from Pakistan's agriculture sector (1960-2009).
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Growth, employment, exports and Wagner's law: evidence from Pakistan's agriculture sector (1960-2009).

机译：增长，就业，出口和瓦格纳定律：巴基斯坦农业部门的证据（1960-2009年）。

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摘要

The objective of this study is to empirically examine the relationship between growth, employment, exports and their impact on gross national expenditure (as a percentage of agriculture GDP), specifically in the context of Pakistan's agriculture sector by using the Bound Testing approach. Data sets from 1960-2009 are taken for time series analysis. The analysis demonstrates that, in the long-run, Wagner's Law does not hold in Pakistan's agriculture sector, as agriculture growth is negatively correlated with the share of agriculture expenditure; while, in the short-run, Wagner's law does hold, as it supports the hypothesis. Agricultural employment tends to be a significant negative correlation with the agricultural expenditure in the long-run. However, these results disappear in the short-run. Agricultural raw material exports have a significant and positive impact on agriculture expenditures both in the short- and long-run.Digital Object Identifier http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0973005212459825
机译：这项研究的目的是通过边界检验方法，以经验的方式检验增长，就业，出口及其对国民总支出（占农业GDP的百分比）的影响之间的关系，特别是在巴基斯坦农业部门的背景下。将1960-2009年的数据集用于时间序列分析。分析表明，从长远来看，瓦格纳定律在巴基斯坦的农业部门并不适用，因为农业增长与农业支出的份额呈负相关。而从短期来看，瓦格纳定律确实成立，因为它支持了这一假设。从长远来看，农业就业往往与农业支出呈显着负相关。但是，这些结果在短期内不会出现。农业原料出口无论短期还是长期都对农业支出产生重大而积极的影响。数字对象标识符http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0973005212459825

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