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Allometry of human fertility and energy use

机译:人类生殖力和能源消耗的异速测量法

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摘要

The flux of energy and materials constrains all organisms, and allometric relationships between rates of energy consumption and other biological rates are manifest at many levels of biological organization. Although human ecology is unusual in many respects, human populations also face energetic constraints. Here we present a model relating fertility rates to per capita energy consumption rates in contemporary human nations. Fertility declines as energy consumption increases with a scaling exponent of -1/3 as predicted by allometric theory. The decline may be explained by parental trade-offs between the number of children and the energetic investment in each child. We hypothesize that the -1/3 exponent results from the scaling properties of the networked infrastructure that delivers energy to consumers. This allometric analysis of human fertility offers a framework for understanding the demographic transition to smaller family sizes, with implications for human population growth, resource use and sustainability.
机译:能量和物质的流动限制了所有生物,并且能量消耗速率与其他生物速率之间的异速关系在生物组织的许多层面上都得到体现。尽管人类生态学在许多方面都与众不同,但人类也面临着精力充沛的制约。在这里,我们提出一个模型,将生育率与当代人类国家的人均能源消耗率联系起来。异能理论预测,随着能源消耗的增加,生育率下降,比例指数为-1/3。下降的原因可能是孩子的数量与每个孩子的精力投入之间的父母权衡。我们假设-1/3指数是由向消费者传递能量的网络基础架构的缩放属性导致的。这种对人类生育力的异速分析为了解人口向较小家庭规模的过渡提供了一个框架,对人口增长,资源利用和可持续性具有影响。

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