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首页> 外文期刊>Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions >An agent-based model of transitions in consumer lighting: Policy impacts from the E.U. phase-out of incandescents
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An agent-based model of transitions in consumer lighting: Policy impacts from the E.U. phase-out of incandescents

机译：消费者照明过渡的基于代理的模型：欧盟的政策影响逐步淘汰白炽灯

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摘要

To understand the consequences of the E.U. ban on incandescent lamps, an agent-based model is developed in which consumer behaviour regarding purchase of lamps is simulated. Consumers are modelled as having heterogeneous and dynamic preferences on lamps. Development of preferences depends on memory and perceptions, as well as interaction in a social network structure. Lighting technology is modelled to cover many different lamps and technologies. The results indicate that the ban on bulbs will be effective in realising an energy efficient sector. Although the ban on bulbs causes a spike in consumers' purchases, the consequent benefits of energy saving outweigh the additional costs of purchasing these lamps. Introducing a tax on incandescent lamps would also be effective given a sufficiently high tax level and could be incomeneutral with respect to purchasing lamps. A possible penetration of halogen lamps may hamper the transition to lower electricity consumption.
机译：了解欧盟的后果禁止白炽灯，建立了一个基于代理的模型，在该模型中，模拟了有关购买灯的消费者行为。消费者被建模为对灯具有异类和动态偏好。偏好的发展取决于记忆和看法，以及社交网络结构中的互动。照明技术被建模为涵盖许多不同的灯和技术。结果表明，对灯泡的禁令将有效实现节能行业。尽管禁止使用灯泡会导致消费者购买量激增，但是节能带来的好处却超过了购买这些灯泡的额外成本。考虑到足够高的税收水平，对白炽灯征税也将是有效的，并且就购买灯而言可能是收入中立的。卤素灯可能会渗入可能会阻碍过渡到更低的功耗。

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