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Declining public pensions in an era of demographic ageing: Will private provision fill the gap?

机译:在人口老龄化时代,公共养老金不断下降:私人养老金能否填补这一缺口?

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摘要

Demographic crisis and imprudent commitments have induced a crisis in public pension programmes in OECO countries. Will present and prospective cutabacks lead to greater private saving, either in the form of private pension provision or in other forms of saving? The paper surveys existing evidence, and provides new results on three questions: Do individuals substitute private for public provision of savings when public pension programmes are cut back 'voluntarily'? Do individuals respond to incentives to join sponsored or tax subsidised arrangements if encouraged by the government? And, if individuals are prepared to make such arrangements, and where saving is voluntary, do they save 'enough' to replace previous prospective public pension flows?
机译:人口危机和不谨慎的承诺在OECO国家的公共养老金计划中引发了危机。现在和将来的削减会否以私人养老金的提供形式或其他形式的储蓄导致更大的私人储蓄?该文件调查了现有证据,并就三个问题提供了新的结果:当“自愿”削减公共养老金计划时,个人是否用私人代替了公共储蓄?如果受到政府的鼓励,个人是否会对加入赞助或税收补贴安排的激励措施做出反应?而且,如果个人准备好进行这种安排,并且在自愿储蓄的情况下,他们是否会“保留”足够的钱来替代以前的预期公共养老金流量?

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