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Prospective Analysis of Aquaculture Development: A Delphi Approach

机译:水产养殖发展的前瞻性分析:一种德尔菲方法

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Recognizing the increasing contribution of aquaculture to food security, livelihoods and economies worldwide, as well as the potential challenges to further development of the sector, the FAO of the UN undertook a prospective analysis, the objectivesof which were to: (1) determine and analyse important policies which could affect aquaculture development regionally and globally and; (2) determine priority areas for action in aquaculture (regionally and globally). It was decided to adopt the "Delphi method" because of its advantages; amongst which: anonymity - thus avoiding the limitations of group decision-making, expert inputs; and iteration with controlled feedback. Initially 305 questionnaires were sent out via mail to experts in different regions. This paper presents some of the Delphi results, with particular attention to North America.
机译:认识到水产养殖对全球粮食安全,生计和经济的贡献日益增加,以及该部门进一步发展的潜在挑战,联合国粮农组织进行了前瞻性分析,其目标是:(1)确定和分析可能影响区域和全球水产养殖发展的重要政策;以及(2)确定水产养殖行动的重点领域(区域和全球)。由于其优势,决定采用“ Delphi方法”。其中:匿名-从而避免了团体决策,专家意见的局限性;以及具有受控反馈的迭代。最初,通过邮件向不同地区的专家发送了305份问卷。本文介绍了一些Delphi结果,尤其是北美地区。

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