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Hydrological responses to dynamically and statistically downscaled climate model output

机译:对动态和统计缩减的气候模型输出的水文响应

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Daily rainfall and surface temperature series were simulated for the Animas River basin, Colorado using dynamically and statistically downscaled output from the National Center for Environmental Prediction/ National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) re-analysis. A distributed hydrological model was then applied to the downscaled data. Relative to raw NCEP output, downscaled climate variables provided more realistic simulations of basin scale hydrology. However, the results highlight the sensitivity of modeled processes to the choice of downscaling technique, and point to the need for caution when interpreting future hydrological scenarios. [References: 19]
机译:使用来自国家环境预测中心/国家大气研究中心(NCEP / NCAR)的重新分析的动态和统计缩减规模的输出,模拟了科罗拉多州阿尼马斯河流域的每日降雨量和地表温度序列。然后将分布式水文模型应用于缩减后的数据。相对于原始NCEP产出,降尺度的气候变量提供了对流域尺度水文学的更现实的模拟。但是,结果强调了建模过程对选择降尺度技术的敏感性,并指出在解释未来水文情景时需要谨慎。 [参考:19]

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