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首页> 外文期刊>Geophysical Research Letters >Predictability of atmospheric boundary-layer flows as a function of scale - art. no. 2038
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Predictability of atmospheric boundary-layer flows as a function of scale - art. no. 2038

机译:大气边界层流量的可预测性是尺度的函数-艺术没有。 2038年

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Predictability analysis based on the maximum Lyapunov exponent considers infinitesimal perturbations, which are associated with errors in the smallest fastest-evolving scales of motion. However, these errors become irrelevant for the predictability of larger scale motions. In this study we employ the newly developed Finite Size Lyapunov Exponent (FSLE) analysis to assess predictability of atmospheric boundary layer flows as a function of scale. We demonstrate the expected enhanced predictability at large scales and quantify the dependence of predictability on the stability of the atmospheric environment. [References: 11]
机译:基于最大Lyapunov指数的可预测性分析考虑了无穷微扰动,这些扰动与最小的,发展最快的运动尺度的误差有关。但是,这些误差与大规模运动的可预测性无关。在这项研究中,我们采用了最新开发的有限尺寸Lyapunov指数(FSLE)分析来评估大气边界层流量作为尺度函数的可预测性。我们证明了预期的增强的大规模可预测性,并量化了可预测性对大气环境稳定性的依赖性。 [参考:11]

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