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首页> 外文期刊>Geophysical Research Letters >An El-Nino prediction system using an intermediate ocean and a statistical atmosphere
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An El-Nino prediction system using an intermediate ocean and a statistical atmosphere

机译：使用中间海洋和统计大气的El-Nino预测系统

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An El-Nino prediction model is developed based on an intermediate ocean model similar to the Cane and Zebiak (CZ) and a statistical atmosphere model. The present ocean model differs from CZ in the parameterization of subsurface temperature and the basic state. The predictability skill of the present model is better than that of CZ. The better performance is particularly distinctive for early stage of the prediction everywhere in the domain and in the central Pacific for all period of prediction. It is suggested that the better performance for the early stage is due to the use of SST anomalies in the initialization, and the better performance in the central Pacific results from a better representation of subsurface temperature in the present model. [References: 13]
机译：根据类似于Cane and Zebiak（CZ）的中间海洋模型和统计大气模型，开发了El-Nino预测模型。当前的海洋模型在地下温度和基本状态的参数化方面与CZ不同。本模型的可预测性要优于CZ。更好的性能在整个预测期间的整个域和太平洋中部各处的早期预测阶段尤其具有特色。建议在早期阶段获得更好的性能，这是由于在初始化过程中使用了SST异常，而在太平洋中部的更好性能是由于在当前模型中更好地表彰了地下温度。 [参考：13]

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