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Stemwood volume increment changes in European forests due to climate change - a simulation study with the EFISCEN model

机译:气候变化导致欧洲森林中的锯木体积增加变化-使用EFISCEN模型的模拟研究

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This paper presents the results of a modelling study of future net annual increment changes in sternwood of European forests owing to climate change. Seven process-based growth models were applied to 14 representative forest sites across Europe under one climate change scenario. The chosen scenario was the HadCM2 run, based on emission scenario IS92a, and resulted in an increase in mean temperature of 2.5degreesC between 1990 and 2050, and an increase in annual precipitation of 5-15%. The information from those runs was incorporated in a transient way in a large-scale forest resource scenario model, EFISCEN (European forest information scenario). European scale forest resource projections were made for 28 countries covering 131.7 million ha of forest under two management scenarios for the period until 2050.
机译:本文介绍了由于气候变化对欧洲森林尾木未来净年增量变化的建模研究结果。在一种气候变化情景下,将七个基于过程的增长模型应用于欧洲的14个代表性森林站点。选择的方案是HadCM2运行,基于排放方案IS92a,导致1990年至2050年之间的平均温度升高2.5摄氏度,年降水量增加5-15%。来自这些运​​行的信息以短暂的方式并入了大型森林资源情景模型EFISCEN(欧洲森林信息情景)中。在2050年之前的两种管理方案下,对28个国家的欧洲森林资源进行了预测,覆盖了1.317亿公顷的森林。

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