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Philippines cement Industry forecasts

机译：菲律宾水泥行业预测

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The Philippines cement industry is looking for a sustained upturn in cement demand over the next five years, fuelled by an anticipated increase in government infrastructure investment and private property development. Projected domestic cement demand growth could reach 6 percent a year according to optimistic industry forecasts, which would see the cement industry running at near full production capacity in five years time. Stagnant economic conditions during the past few years have caused a slowdown in cement consumption. According to the Cement Manufacturers Association of the Philippines (CeMAP), domestic consumption of cement in 2006 was 11.7Mt, down 0.6 percent compared with the total consumption in previous year. In 2006, cement consumption was 2.5 percent below the average annual cement consumption of 12Mt for the period 2000 to 2006. Total consumption in 2006 included a small volume of cement imports that represented less than 2 percent of overall demand. Total cement sales by the Philippines cement industry fell in 2006 as export shipments slipped along with domestic sales. Cement exports were 724,550t in 2008, down 31 percent from 1.05Mt the previous year. Imports, however, more than doubled to 244,000t last year from 116,000t in 2005.
机译：在政府基础设施投资和私有财产开发的预期增加的推动下，菲律宾水泥行业正在寻求未来五年水泥需求的持续回升。根据乐观的行业预测，预计国内水泥需求增长率将达到每年6％，这将使水泥行业在五年时间内以接近满负荷的产能运行。在过去几年中，经济形势停滞不前导致了水泥消费的放缓。根据菲律宾水泥制造商协会（CeMAP）的数据，2006年国内水泥消费量为11.7Mt，比上一年的总消费量下降了0.6％。 2006年，水泥消费量比2000年至2006年的12Mt年平均水泥消费量低2.5％。2006年的总消费量包括少量水泥进口，占总需求的2％以下。菲律宾水泥行业的水泥销售总额在2006年下降，原因是出口发货量与国内销售量一起下滑。 2008年水泥出口量为724,550吨，比上年的1.05吨下降31％。但是，进口量从2005年的11.6万吨增加到去年的24.4万吨。

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