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首页> 外文期刊>Canadian Journal of Forest Research >A mixed-modes approach for estimating hiking on trails through diverse forest landscapes: the case of the Appalachian Trail.
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A mixed-modes approach for estimating hiking on trails through diverse forest landscapes: the case of the Appalachian Trail.

机译：估算不同森林景观中的小径远足的混合模式方法：以阿巴拉契亚小径为例。

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摘要

Many hiking trails traverse the forests and public lands across North America. It has therefore become important for federal management to gain an understanding of total use on these trails. However, there has never been a formal attempt to estimate hiking on these long, backcountry trails. This paper presents an approach that utilizes two survey instruments (exit-site tallies and a trail-user questionnaire) and two primary estimation components (standard and augmented sites) to estimate hikers over a spatial and temporal span. For illustrative purposes, the methodology is applied to a 175 km segment of the Appalachian Trail from 1 June through 14 August 2007. Two alternative estimation methodologies are presented and compared. The model-based approach may be preferred to the design-based approach when sample size is small because it smoothes erratic strata estimates and yields smaller standard errors. However, the design-based approach relaxes an assumption and is more appropriate as sample size increases. In our survey of the Appalachian Trail, there was a 5.6% difference between the visitation estimates based on these two approaches, and such stability reinforces confidence in the methodology.Digital Object Identifier http://dx.doi.org/10.1139/x11-147
机译：许多远足径穿越整个北美的森林和公共土地。因此，对于联邦管理人员来说，了解这些途径的总体用途已变得很重要。但是，从未有过正式的尝试来估计在这些漫长而偏僻的小径上的远足。本文提出了一种利用两种调查工具（出口现场计数和追踪用户调查表）和两个主要估算组件（标准站点和扩展站点）来估算空间和时间跨度远足者的方法。为了便于说明，该方法自2007年6月1日至8月14日应用于阿巴拉契亚小径175公里的一段。提出并比较了两种替代估算方法。当样本量较小时，基于模型的方法可能会比基于设计的方法更可取，因为它可以平滑不稳定的地层估计并产生较小的标准误差。但是，基于设计的方法放宽了假设，并且随着样本量的增加而更加合适。在我们对阿巴拉契亚小径的调查中，基于这两种方法的访问估计之间存在5.6％的差异，并且这种稳定性增强了对该方法的信心。数字对象标识符http://dx.doi.org/10.1139/x11- 147

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