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Modelling transition policy to a sustainable regional transport system - A case study of the Baltic States

机译:为可持续的区域运输系统建立过渡政策模型-以波罗的海国家为例

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Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to address the difficulty of implementing the European Union renewable energy policy in the transport sector. The authors describe a case study illustrating the capacity of the three Baltic States to meet the binding target of 10 per cent renewable energy in the transport sector by 2020. Design/methodology/approach - An excel-based mathematical model is developed and applied to evaluate the effect of a selected set of measures according to the sustainable transportation concept. Findings - The findings demonstrate that the projected renewable energy targets in the transport sector of the Baltic States cannot be achieved without unwavering political commitment towards the promotion of alternative fuel vehicles. Increasing the share of mandatory biofuel blends has a major effect, however, it is not enough to meet the 10 per cent goal. Other measures such as lower transport demand and mode shift are included but do not offer significant benefits under a realistic scenario. Practical implications - The findings are expected to serve as a basis to conduct further studies into sustainable transport development in the Baltic region. Moreover, policy makers may find these results useful in formulating a national position. Originality/value - The methodology and the findings reported in this study could be also used for analysing renewable transport policies in other European countries.
机译:目的-本文的目的是解决交通领域实施欧盟可再生能源政策的困难。作者描述了一个案例研究,说明了三个波罗的海国家有能力实现到2020年交通运输部门实现10%的可再生能源约束性目标的能力。设计/方法/方法-建立了基于excel的数学模型并将其应用于评估根据可持续运输概念选择的一系列措施的效果。调查结果-调查结果表明,波罗的海国家运输部门的可再生能源预期目标如要实现,就必须坚定不移地促进替代燃料汽车的政治承诺。增加强制性生物燃料混合物的份额具有重大影响,但是,这还不足以实现10%的目标。还包括其他措施,例如降低运输需求和模式转换,但在实际情况下并不能提供明显的好处。实际意义-研究结果有望作为进一步研究波罗的海地区可持续交通发展的基础。此外,政策制定者可能会发现这些结果有助于确立国家地位。原创性/价值-本研究报告的方法和发现还可以用于分析其他欧洲国家的可再生运输政策。

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