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Importance of making correct decisions Part two: Methods to resolve faulty thinking

机译:做出正确决策的重要性第二部分:解决错误思维的方法

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摘要

Part one of Ann-Mane Davies' column on decisionmaking appeared in the July issue of ME on pages 7 and 8. The last article described some common pitfalls with decisionmaking, looking at processes and why faulty thinking occurs. This article continues this theme, looking at specific issues and methods to resolve them. Most people will seek confirming evidence and disregard or neglect data that does not support their cause. Additionally, because a person has an interest in a particular outcome, data supporting the alternatives will appear less than fascinating. If a decision maker is influential, others will understand what kind of data he requires and seek to accommodate his needs. How will they know? Clearly, if the decision maker is presenting an idea and asking for evidence to support it, the context has already been framed before independent analysis has a chance to occur.
机译:Ann-Mane Davies关于决策的专栏的第一部分出现在7月刊第7和8页的ME中。最后一篇文章描述了决策的一些常见陷阱,着眼于流程以及错误思维的发生原因。本文延续了这一主题,着眼于特定的问题和解决方法。大多数人将寻求确认证据,而忽略或忽略不支持其原因的数据。另外,由于一个人对特定的结果感兴趣,因此支持替代方案的数据似乎不那么吸引人。如果决策者具有影响力,其他人将了解他需要什么样的数据并寻求满足他的需求。他们怎么知道?显然,如果决策者提出了一个想法并要求提供证据来支持它,那么在进行独立分析之前就已经确定了上下文。

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