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Future thermal comfort in Germany

机译：德国未来的热舒适性

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摘要

To study future thermal comfort in Germany, the perceived temperature PT is utilized, a thermal index which refers to a reference environment in which the sensation of cold and heat would be the same as under actual conditions.To calculate the thermal index PT, the German Weather Service DWD employs the Klima Michel Modell KMM, a complete heat budget model of the human body, which was developed by Jendritzky in 1979 as an operational tool for thermal assessment. The necessary input parameters for the KMM were obtained from different climate scenario runs conducted with the regional climate model of the German weather service, the COSMO-CLM.The results for the period 2001-2050 show an overall increase in number of days with perceived temperatures in the range of thermal comfort (0-20℃), although no significant trend can be detected for Freiburg. Several spatiotemporal trends are discerned, i.e. a larger increase in coastal areas compared to southern parts of Germany. The rise in number of days with thermal comfort takes place at the expense of a decrease in number of days with a slight cold stress.
机译：为了研究德国未来的热舒适性，我们使用了感知温度PT，即热指数是指参考环境中冷热感与实际条件相同。气象服务DWD使用了Klima Michel Modell KMM（人体的完整热量预算模型），该模型由Jendritzky于1979年开发，用作热量评估的操作工具。 KMM的必要输入参数是通过使用德国气象部门COSMO-CLM的区域气候模型进行的不同气候情景运行获得的.2001-2050年期间的结果显示，随着感知温度的增加，总天数增加虽然在弗莱堡没有发现明显的趋势，但在热舒适度（0-20℃）范围内。可以看出一些时空趋势，即与德国南部地区相比，沿海地区的增长更大。具有热舒适性的天数的增加是以具有轻微冷应力的天数的减少为代价的。

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