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Simulation of temperature regime of the Moscow regionin XXI century

机译:二十一世纪莫斯科地区温度状况的模拟

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摘要

In view of growing public attention to modern ecological and climatic problems, one of themost important problems of meteorology and climatology is to develop realistic scenarios offuture climatic changes. The modern general circulation (GCM) and regional atmospheric (RM)models allow to reproduce meteorological fields with the spatial grid resolution about 50x50and 5x5 km, respectively. Such model resolution is, unfortunately, not allow to enough ade-quately describing the climatic condition of the cities. Taking into account big differences ofmeteorological conditions in- and outside of the cities the prediction uncertainties provided byGCM and RM models for cities may be relatively large.
机译:鉴于公众日益关注现代生态和气候问题,气象和气候学的最重要问题之一是制定未来气候变化的现实方案。现代的一般环流(GCM)模型和区域大气(RM)模型可以重现空间分辨率为50x50和5x5 km的气象场。不幸的是,这种模型解析并不能充分地描述城市的气候条件。考虑到城市内外气象条件的巨大差异,GCM和RM模型为城市提供的预测不确定性可能相对较大。

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