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首页> 外文期刊>Kybernetes: The International Journal of Systems & Cybernetics >Construction of evaluation index system of national energy security based on CAS theory and PSR model
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Construction of evaluation index system of national energy security based on CAS theory and PSR model

机译：基于CAS理论和PSR模型的国家能源安全评价指标体系的构建。

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Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to provide a new mentality of constructing the evaluation index system on national energy security, in favor of analyzing its influencing factors and coupling relations thoroughly. Design/methodology/approach - The complex adaptive system (CAS) theory has provided one kind analysis method on modeling and simulation for question of the social economic system, which based on the adaptive agent and mutual interaction. In view of this, the authors' expect to use this kind of new research paradigm for reference, and construct the evaluation index systems on national energy security using the integration of CAS theory and pressure-state-response (PSR) conceptual model. Findings - Constructs a set of compound index system of "six parallel layers, gradually converge, six layers three dimensions three degrees." Research limitations/implications - The evaluation index system on national energy security is in the discussion stage at present, and the comparatively systematic or accepted index system has not been established. So the further study on influencing factors and measurement indicator system based on multi-dimension of national energy security, is the emphasis of the continued further research. Practical implications - Constructing the evaluation index system on national energy security integrating PSR conceptual model from the perspective CAS. Originality/value - Divides the carrier of energy security problem's happening into three energy domains (non-renewable energy), and introduces the theory and method of CAS to construct the agent layer to carry on the multi-agent gambling analysis. Simultaneously separately analyses the coal security, the petroleum security as well as the natural gas security using the concept framework of PSR.
机译：目的-本文的目的是为构建国家能源安全评价指标体系提供一种新思路，以利于对其影响因素进行分析，并彻底耦合关系。设计/方法/方法-复杂自适应系统（CAS）理论提供了一种基于自适应主体和相互交互作用的社会经济系统问题的建模和仿真分析方法。有鉴于此，作者期望可以将这种新的研究范式作为参考，并结合CAS理论和压力状态响应（PSR）概念模型构建国家能源安全评价指标体系。调查结果-构造了一组“六个平行层，逐渐收敛，六个层，三个维度，三个度”的复合索引系统。研究的局限/意义-国家能源安全评估指标体系目前处于讨论阶段，尚未建立比较系统或公认的指标体系。因此，基于国家能源安全多维维度的影响因素和计量指标体系的进一步研究是继续进行研究的重点。实际意义-从CAS角度构建整合PSR概念模型的国家能源安全评估指标体系。原创性/价值-将发生能源安全问题的载体划分为三个能源领域（不可再生能源），并介绍CAS的理论和方法来构建代理层以进行多代理赌博分析。同时利用PSR的概念框架分别分析煤炭安全，石油安全和天然气安全。

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