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Integrated risk assessment method of waterlog disaster in Huaihe River Basin of China

机译:淮河流域洪涝灾害综合风险评估方法

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摘要

Regional waterlog disaster integrated risk system, affected by natural, social, and economic systems and its combination relationship, is a complex system with certain structure and function. Waterlog disaster integrated risk results from the combined effects of regional environment, impact factors, vulnerability, and disaster-reducing capability of flood hazards in the drainage area. Waterlog disaster integrated risk system can be divided into four subsystems of hazard, vulnerability, disaster-reducing capability, and disaster conditions. Evaluation indexes are selected using fuzzy analytic hierarchy process method, and the evaluation index system is established. Then, the waterlog disaster integrated risk evaluation model is proposed based on set pair analysis method. Taking Huaihe river in Anhui Province of China as the typical area in this study, the results show that the proposed approach is able to obtain the spatial distribution characteristics of waterlog hazard, vulnerability, mitigation capabilities, and integrated disaster risk within the study area. From the quantitative point of view, identification of the areas with high flood risk can provide a scientific basis for the flood management and technical support.
机译:受自然,社会,经济系统及其组合关系影响的区域内涝灾害综合风险系统是具有一定结构和功能的复杂系统。涝灾综合风险是由流域区域环境,影响因素,脆弱性和减少洪灾灾害的减灾能力的综合作用所造成的。水灾灾害综合风险系统可分为灾害,脆弱性,减灾能力和灾害条件四个子系统。采用模糊层次分析法选择评价指标,建立评价指标体系。然后,基于集对分析方法,提出了涝灾综合风险评估模型。研究结果以安徽省淮河为典型区域,结果表明该方法能够获得研究区域内涝灾害,脆弱性,减灾能力和综合灾害风险的空间分布特征。从数量上看,确定高洪灾地区可以为洪水管理和技术支持提供科学依据。

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