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The rainstorm comprehensive economic loss assessment based on CGE model: using a July heavy rainstorm in Beijing as an example

机译:基于CGE模型的暴雨综合经济损失评估-以北京7月暴雨为例。

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This paper introduces the computable general equilibrium (CGE) model into the comprehensive economic loss assessment due to rainstorm, using Beijing as an example. The article has constructed a regional storm disaster CGE model to measure the impacts made by rainstorm occurence on sectors and the whole economic system by adding four disaster impact parameters corresponding to the four most affected sectors. The evaluation results show that the torrential rain on July 21 of 2012 in Beijing has caused a total of more than 27 billion RMB of indirect economic loss, which is much more than 11.64 billion RMB of direct economic loss, and on the other hand, we find that, although the rainstorm has brought immense losses to multiple economic departments, it stimulates the increase of social employment rate and investment in fixed assets.
机译:以北京为例,将可计算一般均衡模型引入到暴雨造成的综合经济损失评估中。本文通过添加与四个受影响最大的部门相对应的四个灾害影响参数,构建了一个区域风暴灾害CGE模型,以测量暴雨发生对部门和整个经济系统的影响。评价结果表明,2012年7月21日北京暴雨造成的直接经济损失总计超过270亿元,远远超过直接经济损失116.4亿元,另一方面,我们发现,尽管暴雨给多个经济部门带来了巨大损失,但它刺激了社会就业率和固定资产投资的增长。

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