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A sleepy rice market: the calm before the storm?

机译:昏昏欲睡的大米市场:暴风雨来临前的平静?

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摘要

Global food prices are on the rise again. In January, the food price index (see Fig. 1) exceeded the level witnessed during the peak of the 2008 food crisis when rice prices nearly tripled. The second food crisis in 3 years has led to riots and protests in many developing countries and has raised a serious question among many whether cheap food has become a thing of the past. It is also worthwhile to note that the International Monetary Fund food price index had been on the rise long before the 2007-08 spike, and, in the last 10 years, the index has nearly doubled even without taking into account both the 2007-08 and the 2010 spikes. Many of those who brushed aside the 2008 food crisis as a one-off event primarily driven by commodity speculation and panic among major rice-growing countries have started looking at the severity of future global food insecurity.
机译:全球粮食价格再次上涨。 1月,粮食价格指数(见图1)超过了2008年粮食危机高峰时期的水平,当时稻米价格几乎翻了三倍。三年来的第二次食品危机在许多发展中国家引发了骚乱和抗议,并在许多人中提出了一个严重的问题,即廉价食品是否已成为过去。值得一提的是,国际货币基金组织的食品价格指数在2007-08年飙升之前就一直在上升,并且在过去10年中,即使不考虑2007-08年的价格指数,该指数也几乎翻了一番。和2010年的峰值。许多人在主要的稻米种植国中,由于商品投机和恐慌而将2008年粮食危机作为一次性事件而抛在脑后,许多人开始关注未来全球粮食不安全的严重性。

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