Market Update: Ag economist analyzes rice and soybean markets

Kurt Guidry

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Market Update: Ag economist analyzes rice and soybean markets

机译：市场更新：农业经济学家分析大米和大豆市场

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From a fundamental supply and demand situation, the rice market continues to show signs of improvement. In its March supply and demand report, the USD A once again lowered ending stocks for the 2012/13 marketing year based on stronger export demand expectations for the remainder of the marketing year. Looking at the demand side of the equation shows that year on year changes in both domestic rice use and export sales are expected to be up over 13 percent and six percent, respectively. Stronger domestic use seems to be an indication that the industry is slowly working its way out of some of the quality issues it struggled with over the past couple of marketing years.

机译：从基本的供需状况来看，大米市场继续显示出改善的迹象。在其3月份的供需报告中，美元A再次下调了2012/13销售年度的期末存货，原因是该销售年度剩余时间的出口需求预期提高。从等式的需求方面来看，预计国内大米使用量和出口销售量的同比变化分别将超过13％和6％。扩大国内使用量似乎表明该行业正在逐步摆脱过去几年营销中遇到的一些质量问题。

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《Rice Farming》 |2013年第5期|共2页
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Kurt Guidry;
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1. Market Update: Ag economist analyzes rice and soybean markets [J] . Kurt Guidry Rice Farming . 2013,第5期

机译：市场更新：农业经济学家分析大米和大豆市场
2. Interrelationships of US Corn and Soybean Cash and Futures Markets with Storage Price Dependence The Role of Futures Prices and Model Development [J] . Hsiang-Hsi Liu Journal of Finance and Economics . 2020,第5期

机译：美国玉米和大豆现金和期货市场的相互关系，储存价格依赖期货价格和模型发展的作用
3. Market integration and price transmission of soybean markets in Maharashtra [J] . Suvarna L. Mahalle, Siddharth Shastri, Shiv Kumar New Agriculturist . 2015,第1期

机译：马哈拉施特拉邦大豆市场的市场整合和价格传导
4. Degree of Price Integration, Price Leadership Behavior and Potential Spatial Arbitrage in Corn and Soybeans Cash Markets in Ontario [C] . Francesco Braga, Michele Nardella Fifth International Conference on Chain and Network Management in Agribusiness and the Food Industry, Jun 6-8, 2002, Noordwijk . 2002

机译：安大略省玉米和大豆现货市场的价格整合度，价格领导行为和潜在的空间套利
5. World markets of vertically differentiated agricultural commodities: A case of soybean markets [D] . Yamaura, Koichi 2012

机译：纵向差异化农产品的世界市场：以大豆市场为例
6. PSII-21 Evaluation of the impact of the magnitude of errors in the sorting of pigs and market price for market on the optimal market weight [O] . Jian Cheng, Joanna Claudy, Yichen Que, 2019

机译：PSII-21评估猪和市场价格对猪和市场价格分类中的误差幅度的影响
7. We analyze, in this paper, a DSGE New Keynesian model with indi- visible labor where firms may belong to two different final goods producing sectors one where wages and employment are determined in competitive labor markets and the orther where wages and employment are the result of a contractual process between unions and firms. Bargaining between firms and monopoly unions implies real wage rigidity in the model and, in turn, an endogenous trade-off between output stabilization and infla- tion stabilization. We show that the negative effect of a productivity shock on inflation and the positive effect of a cost-push shock is crucially determined by the proportion of firms that belong to the competitive sec- tor. The larger is this number, the smaller are these effects. We derive a welfare based objective function as a second order Taylor approxima- tion of the expected utility of the economy's representative agent and we analyze optimal monetary policy. We show that the larger is the num- ber of firms that belong to the competitive sector, the smaller should be the response of the nominal interest rate to exogenous productivity and cost-push shocks. If we consider, however, an instrument rule where the interest rate must react to inflationary expectations, the rule is not af- fected by the structure of the labor market. The results of the model are consistent with a well known empirical regularity in macroeconomics, i.e. that employment volatility is larger than real wage volatility. [O] . Lorenza Rossi, Fabrizio Mattesini 100

机译：在本文中，我们分析了DsGE新凯恩斯主义模型，该模型具有明显的劳动力，其中企业可能属于两个不同的最终产品生产部门，其中工资和就业是在竞争性劳动力市场中确定的，而工资和就业是由工资和就业导致的。工会和公司之间的合同过程。企业和垄断联盟之间的讨价还价意味着模型中的实际工资刚性，反过来，产出稳定和通货膨胀稳定之间的内生权衡。我们表明，生产率冲击对通货膨胀的负面影响以及成本推动冲击的积极影响，主要取决于属于竞争部门的企业比例。这个数字越大，这些效果越小。我们得出一个基于福利的目标函数作为经济代理人的预期效用的二阶泰勒近似，我们分析最优货币政策。我们表明，属于竞争性行业的企业数量越大，名义利率对外生生产率和成本推动冲击的反应就越小。但是，如果我们考虑利率必须对通胀预期作出反应的工具规则，则该规则不受劳动力市场结构的影响。该模型的结果与宏观经济学中众所周知的经验规律一致，即就业波动率大于实际工资波动率。
8. Feed Outlook Special Report, August 2009. Issues and Prospects in Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat Futures Markets: New Entrants, Price Volatility, and Market Performance Implications [R] . Aulerich, N., Hoffman, L., Plato, G. 2009

机译：饲料展望特别报告，2009年8月。玉米，大豆和小麦期货市场的问题和前景：新进入者，价格波动和市场表现影响

Market Update: Ag economist analyzes rice and soybean markets

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