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首页> 外文期刊>Simulation modelling practice and theory: International journal of the Federation of European Simulation Societies >Modelling of biomass prices for bio-energy market in the Czech Republic
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Modelling of biomass prices for bio-energy market in the Czech Republic

机译：捷克共和国生物能源市场的生物质价格建模

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The article combines theoretical approaches in economic modelling with practical application of created models for the bio-energy sector in the defined area. Design and application of economic models is discussed to predict future biomass prices from new energy crops on the developed and saturated bio-energy market. The models use minimum price methodology based on application of elementary principles of economic theory to commercial activity with undeveloped production and/or the demand side of the biomass market. The model is then tested on real economic and agronomic data from pilot and experimental biomass production and utilization projects in the Czech Republic with a case study of biomass from poplar and willow short rotation coppice (SRC) and reed canary grass plantations. Selected results of this modelling of biomass prices are presented and discussed. The economic model created proved to be a practical tool for analysis of the effectiveness and competitiveness of biomass from different energy crops on the energy market, which can be used for strategic planning on the part of state administration or decision-making of companies in the biomass sector.
机译：本文将经济建模中的理论方法与在定义区域内为生物能源行业创建的模型的实际应用相结合。讨论了经济模型的设计和应用，以预测发达和饱和生物能源市场上新能源作物的未来生物质价格。这些模型使用最低价格方法，该方法基于将经济理论的基本原理应用于具有未开发的生产和/或生物质市场需求方面的商业活动。然后，以捷克共和国试点和实验性生物质生产和利用项目的实际经济和农艺数据为基础，对该模型进行了测试，并以杨树和柳树矮轮转小灌木林（SRC）以及芦苇金丝雀人工林的生物量为例进行了研究。提出并讨论了这种生物质价格模型的选定结果。建立的经济模型被证明是分析能源市场上不同能源作物的生物质的有效性和竞争力的实用工具，可用于国家行政部门的战略规划或生物质公司的决策部门。

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