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E.T. and the Eiffel Tower

机译:E.T.和艾菲尔铁塔

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NOW THAT WE'RE around the 50th anniversary of two milestones in thehistory of our search for extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI) — the 1959 Nature paper by Giuseppe Cocconi and Philip Morrison that outlined the attractiveness of radio, and Frank Drake's first radio SETI experiment in 1960 (Project Ozma, see page 24) — it's a good time to reflect on where things stand with SETI. Numerous SETI efforts have been conducted, but they've searched such a minuscule sliver of parameter space (10-14 by one estimate) that the nondetec-tions don't tell us anything meaningful about the prevalence of extraterrestri-als. Truthfully, we simply don't know whether or not we're alone in our galaxy. But giving up is no fun, so I'll hazard a guess and hope some of you respond. Write to letters@ SkyandTelescope.com if you agree or disagree with me. If we use the height of the Eiffel Tower without the flagpole to represent the 3.8 billion years of life on Earth, the amount of time that human civilization has existed on the planet would be roughly the horizontal layer of paint at the top. I wouldn't be surprised if our galaxy has billions of planets with some type of primitive life, but the Eiffel Tower analogy suggests that only a precious few ever witness the emergence of a species capable of interstellar communication.
机译:现在,我们正处于探索外星情报(SETI)历史上两个里程碑的50周年纪念日–朱塞佩·科科尼和菲利普·莫里森在1959年发表的《自然》杂志概述了无线电的吸引力,以及弗兰克·德雷克在1960年进行的首个无线电SETI实验(Ozma项目,请参阅第24页)—现在是反思SETI立场的好时机。 SETI已经进行了许多努力,但是他们搜索了如此微小的参数空间条带(一个估计为10-14),以至于这些检测并不能告诉我们有关外星人流行的任何有意义的信息。说实话,我们只是不知道我们是否一个人在银河系中。但是放弃并不是一件有趣的事,所以我会冒险猜测并希望你们中的一些人做出回应。如果您同意或不同意我,请写信给SkyandTelescope.com。如果我们使用不带旗杆的埃菲尔铁塔的高度来表示地球上38亿年的生命,那么人类文明在地球上生存的时间大约就是顶部的水平油漆层。如果我们的银河系中有数十亿个具有某种原始生命的行星,我不会感到惊讶,但是艾菲尔铁塔的类比表明,只有极少数人见证了能够进行星际通信的物种的出现。

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