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首页> 外文期刊>Paleoceanography >Can we use ice sheet reconstructions to constrain meltwater for deglacial simulations?
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Can we use ice sheet reconstructions to constrain meltwater for deglacial simulations?

机译:我们是否可以使用冰盖重建来约束融冰水以进行冰期模拟?

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摘要

Freshwater pulses from melting ice sheets are thought to be important for driving deglacial climate variability. This study investigates challenges in simulating and understanding deglacial climate evolution within this framework, with emphasis on uncertainties in the ocean overturning sensitivity to meltwater inputs. The response of an intermediate complexity model to a single Northern Hemisphere meltwater pulse is familiar: a weakening of the ocean overturning circulation in conjunction with an expansion of sea ice cover and a meridional temperature seesaw. Nonlinear processes are vital in shaping this response and are found to have a decisive influence when more complex scenarios with a history of pulses are involved. A meltwater history for the last deglaciation (21-9 ka) was computed from the ICE-5G ice sheet reconstruction, and the meltwater was routed into the ocean through idealized ice sheet drainages. Forced with this meltwater history, model configurations with altered freshwater sensitivity produce a range of outcomes for the deglaciation, from those in which there is a complete collapse of the overturning circulation to those in which the overturning circulation weakens slightly. The different outcomes are interpreted in terms of the changing hysteresis behavior of the overturning circulation (i.e., non-stationary freshwater sensitivity) as the background climate warms through the course of the deglaciation. The study illustrates that current uncertainties in model sensitivity are limiting in efforts to forward-model deglacial climate variability. Furthermore, ice sheet reconstructions are shown to provide poor constraints on meltwater forcing for simulating the deglaciation.
机译:人们认为,融化的冰盖产生的淡水脉冲对于推动冰期气候的变化很重要。这项研究调查了在此框架内模拟和理解冰期气候演变的挑战,重点是海洋中的不确定性,从而推翻了对融水输入的敏感性。中等复杂度模型对单个北半球融水脉动的响应是很熟悉的:海洋倾覆环流减弱,海冰覆盖面积扩大和子午温度跷跷板。非线性过程对于塑造这种响应至关重要,并且当涉及到具有脉冲历史的更复杂场景时,非线性过程具有决定性的影响。根据ICE-5G冰盖重建计算出最后一次冰消融化(21-9 ka)的融水历史,并将融水通过理想的冰盖排水系统排入海洋。在这种融水历史的驱使下,淡水敏感性改变的模型构造产生了一系列的冰消作用,从那些倾覆环流完全塌陷的结果到那些倾覆环流略微减弱的结果。当背景气候在整个冰消过程中变暖时,根据倾覆环流的滞后行为变化(即非平稳的淡水敏感性)来解释不同的结果。该研究表明,当前模型敏感性的不确定性限制了对正冰期气候变率的努力。此外,冰盖重建显示出对模拟冰消作用的融水强迫提供了较弱的约束。

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