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Testing for relationships between Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets: A threshold cointegration perspective

机译:检验上海和深圳股市之间的关系:阈值协整角度

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We investigate the relationships between Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market, and reveal the evidence of cross-correlations between the two stock markets. Our main findings show that Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market are cointegrated, and also present the evidence of strong error-correction effect in the short-rate equation, whereas the point estimate for the error-correction term is small and not statistical significance in the long-rate equation. Finally, Shanghai stock market ECT coefficient shows the evidence of long-term equilibrium in the first regime, while in the second regime the coefficient of correction term is larger than that of the first regime, indicating the rate convergence to long-term equilibrium is not uniform.
机译:我们调查了上海和深圳股市之间的关系,并揭示了两个股市之间相互关联的证据。我们的主要发现表明,上海和深圳股市是协整的,并且在短期利率方程中也显示出强大的误差校正作用,而对于误差校正项的点估计很小,并且从长远来看没有统计学意义。速率方程。最后,上海股票市场的ECT系数显示了第一种情况下长期均衡的证据,而在第二种情况下,校正项的系数大于第一种情况下的校正系数,表明速率收敛至长期均衡并没有制服。

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