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Inference for an Experiment based on Repeated Majority Votes.

机译:基于重复多数投票的实验推论。

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摘要

Consider an experiment which consists of n independent Bernoulli sequences, each of which is randomly terminated at either the kth success or the kth failure, whichever comes first. The goals are to make inferences about the per trial probability of success, as well as the probability that a sequence is terminated with a success. The latter is equivalent to the probability that if 2k-1 trials are accumulated, the majority will be successes. Various estimators are investigated, and the results of an ESP experiment fitting this scheme are examined.

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