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首页> 美国政府科技报告 >Soviet Middle East Policy Since the October War.
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Soviet Middle East Policy Since the October War.

机译：十月战争以来的苏联中东政策。

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The current report gives particular attention to regional Soviet military actions and deployments, but also considers economic assistance, trade, and foreign policy to the extent these affect security matters. The Soviet Middle East presence has diminished and is now probably at a level justified by Soviet proximity, interests, and willingness to commit resources. Regime changes in Egypt and Syria, new regional perceptions of U.S. policy, and significant financial changes following the 1973-1974 oil embargo and subsequent price increases--these developments have left the U.S.S.R. in a poor position to exert its influence over regional decisions. This trend will continue, except in the Persian Gulf where Soviet influence is only beginning to be felt and will probably increase somewhat over the next five years. Meanwhile, although the Soviet naval presence in the Mediterranean has grown, the Mediterranean Squadron is still no match for the combined NATO forces. In the Persian Gulf and Indian Ocean areas, growing Soviet naval deployments and capabilities also still remain less than those of the West. The Soviet military presence in the Middle East and adjacent areas poses no major threat to Western interests short of general war. Indeed recent U.S. foreign policy has placed the Soviet Union on the defensive in the Middle East.

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