Arctic Planning Scenarios: Scenario No. 1: Defence Scenario

机译：北极规划情景：情景1：国防情景

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With the change in northern climate over the past decade, current policy and media discussions have focused on the future of the Arctic. DRDC CORA has taken on a number of research projects, including the development of two Arctic security scenarios, a scenario development methodology, and a Capability Inventory Tool (CIT) to identify and characterize legislation and policy on the Arctic, with a view to developing scenarios for future planning and assisting operational commands in their interactions with other operations centres. This report presents one of two scenarios, focused on a defence-centric response scenario. The scenario makes use of the CIT to present an overview of the current situation and presents a projection out to 2015 to set context for a security environment in which there are significant tensions between Canada and Russia over arctic sovereignty. While all efforts have been taken to present a plausible scenario, the research was not based on any intelligence assessments and is not intended to be considered a probable future. Rather, it presents a context to test a range of capabilities required for Canada to be able to meet its strategy and policy objectives.

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Mugridge, D.; Avis, P.; Race, P.;
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年度 2011
页码 1-61
总页数 61
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类工业技术;
关键词
Arctic regions ; Research management ; Canada ; Legislation ; Methodology ; Planning ; Policies ; Probability ; Scenarios;

机译：北极地区;研究管理;加拿大;立法;方法;规划;政策;概率;情景;

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Arctic Planning Scenarios: Scenario No. 1: Defence Scenario

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