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Revolutions in Science and Technology: Future Threats to US National Security

机译：科技革命：对美国国家安全的未来威胁

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The accompanying report provides a framework for evaluating S&T developments through the lens of their national security implications. This framework allows analysts to assess postulated technologies using a multi- tiered filtering process. The process consists first of a determination of whether the technology qualifies as a 'weapon of mass effect,' a term for which a new definition is provided. The next step assesses whether the technology possesses various qualities that would make it particularly consequentiaL These include: reduced barriers to acquisition; system integration; novel delivery means; self-propagation; novel radical empowerment; mitigation of effects; and diverse applicability. To illustrate the framework, the report examines eight technologies/capabilities that were identified as potential WME: ultrafast laser technology; genetically-engineered pathogens; advanced laser isotope separation; electromagnetic interference micro-jammers; botnet technology; circuit board hacking; quantum computing; and 'E-bombs.' The analysis of these technologies identifies the factors that may drive or inhibit their development, as well as the drivers/counter-drivers that influence their attractiveness from an adversary's perspective.

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作者
Boyd, D.; Andivahis, L.; Cooper, J. R.; Lukasik, S. J.; Oancea, V.;
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年度 2011
页码 1-176
总页数 176
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类工业技术;
关键词
Mass destruction weapons ; National security ; Analysts ; Barriers ; Circuit boards ; Drives ; Electromagnetic interference ; High rate ; Integrated systems ; Isotope separation ; Quantum theory ; Threats ; Weapons;

机译：大规模杀伤性武器;国家安全;分析员;障碍;电路板;驱动器;电磁干扰;高速率;综合系统;同位素分离;量子理论;威胁;武器;

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Revolutions in Science and Technology: Future Threats to US National Security

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