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Coherence-Based Modeling of Cultural Change and Political Violence

机译：基于连贯的文化变迁与政治暴力模型

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The Coherence Based Cultural Change and Political Violence Project (CCPV) accomplished: (1) Completion of integrated model of cultural change based upon grid group model of culture, coherence model of preference and belief change, and rational choice model of action. (2) Application of this model to predict ethnic conflict via middle range model that includes three stages: ethnic group formation, group interaction, and post interaction identity change. (3) Implementation of model into agent based simulation, using bounded optimization techniques to determine ethnic group boundary, action, and identity choices. (4) Completion of constructionist ethnicity dataset that describes demographic, cultural, and socioeconomic characteristics of ascriptively defined groups around the world. (5) Development of web crawler to locate virtual communities and to extract their attitudes using social network, content analysis, and social statistical methodologies. (6) Testing of assumptions of model through computer mediated experiments involving formal games and field experiment on multi ethnically divided population. (7) Testing of predictions of model through ethnic case studies, comparative cultural analysis, and cross national conflict analysis. (8) Successful execution of 2 workshops which brought together for the first time prominent figures from the social and natural sciences communities working on common topics such as interpreting meaning and intent from textual content analysis and predicting behavior.

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