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Risk Transfer Mechanism for Agricultural Products Supply Chain Based on Weather Index Insurance

机译:基于天气指数保险的农产品供应链风险转移机制

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摘要

The risk management for agricultural products supply chain is more complex than that for typical manufacturing supply chain. Agricultural production is vulnerable to severe weather such as heavy rain, cyclones, and cold wave, which challenges the matching of random output with random demand for agricultural products supply chains. The goal of this paper is to design an effective risk transfer mechanism for managing severe weather risks so as to ensure the stable operation of the agricultural products supply chain. We study the coordination of two-level agricultural products supply chain with a single company and a single farmer under the influence of severe weather. Taking rainstorm weather as an example, this paper designs a risk transfer mechanism based on weather index (rainfall) insurance: “rainfall index insurance + revenue sharing + risk transfer fee.” It is found that this risk transfer mechanism can overcome distortion of the farmer’s agricultural investment level under the influence of severe weather. When the contract parameters meet certain conditions, using the risk transfer mechanism can achieve the supply chain coordination and a win-win situation. More importantly, weather change does not affect the Pareto improvement of the company and the farmer under the risk transfer mechanism. In addition, we also find that the company can incentivize the farmer to purchase weather index insurance and use the insurance market to shift the severe weather risk encountered during the agricultural production to protect the company’s and farmer’s income and the stable operation of the supply chain.
机译:农产品供应链的风险管理比典型制造供应链更复杂。农业生产易受严重雨,旋风和冷波等恶劣天气,这挑战随机输出与随机需求的农产品供应链的匹配。本文的目标是为管理恶劣天气风险设计有效的风险转移机制,以确保农产品供应链的稳定运行。我们研究了双层农产品供应链的协调,在恶劣天气的影响下与单一公司和单一农民进行协调。以暴雨天气为例,本文设计了基于天气指数(降雨)保险的风险转移机制:“降雨指数保险+收入共享+风险转移费”。结果发现,这种风险转移机制可以在恶劣天气的影响下克服农民农业投资水平的扭曲。当合同参数达到某些条件时,使用风险转移机制可以实现供应链协调和双赢的情况。更重要的是,在风险转移机制下,天气变化不会影响公司和农民的帕累托改善。此外,我们还发现该公司可以激励农民购买天气指数保险,并使用保险市场转变农业生产中遇到的恶劣天气风险,以保护公司和农民的收入和稳定的供应链运作。

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