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Influence of extreme weather and climate change on the resilience of power systems: Impacts and possible mitigation strategies

机译:极端天气和气候变化对电力系统韧性的影响:影响和可能的缓解策略

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摘要

A key driver for developing more sustainable energy systems is to decrease the effects of climate change, which could include an increase in the frequency, intensity and duration of severe weather events. Amongst others, extreme weather has a significant impact on critical infrastructures, and is considered one of the main causes of wide-area electrical disturbances worldwide. In fact, weather-related power interruptions often tend to be of high impact and sustained duration, ranging from hours to days, because of the large damage on transmission and distribution facilities. Hence, enhancing the grid resilience to such events is becoming of increasing interest. In this outlook, this paper first discusses the influence of weather and climate change on the reliability and operation of power system components. Since modeling the impact of weather is a difficult task because of its stochastic and unpredicted nature, a review of existing methodologies is provided in order to get an understanding of the key modeling approaches, challenges and requirements for assessing the effect of extreme weather on the frequency and duration of power system blackouts. Then, the emerging concept of resilience is discussed in the context of power systems as critical infrastructure, including several defense plans for boosting the resilience of power systems to extreme weather events. A comprehensive research framework is finally outlined, which can help understand and model the impact of extreme weather on power systems and how this can be prevented or mitigated in the future.
机译:发展更加可持续的能源系统,一个关键因素是降低气候变化,其中可能包括极端天气事件发生的频率,强度的增加和持续时间的影响。除其他外,极端天气对关键基础设施的一个显著的影响,被认为是广域的全球电气干扰的主要原因之一。事实上,与天气相关的供电中断常常倾向于高冲击和持续时间,从几小时到几天,因为对输变电设施的损伤大。因此,提高电网抵御这样的事件正成为越来越大的兴趣。在这种前景,本文首先讨论对电力系统部件的可靠性和操作天气和气候变化的影响。由于模拟天气的影响,是因为它的随机性和不可预测性质的一项艰巨的任务,现有的方法进行审查,以获得关键的建模方法,挑战和评估的频率极端天气的影响需求的理解,提供电力系统停电的持续时间。然后,弹性的新兴概念,在电力系统中重要的基础设施,包括一些防御计划对提高电力系统抵御极端天气事件的背景下讨论。一个全面的研究框架终于概括,它可以帮助理解和模拟极端天气对电力系统的影响,以及如何可以防止或减轻未来。

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