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Quantitative evaluation of the synergistic effects of failures in a critical infrastructure system

机译:关键基础架构系统中故障协同效应的定量评估

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摘要

A critical infrastructure is a complicated system whose failure (in whole or in part) has a significant impact on national interests, including security, the economy and basic human needs. The system consists of relevant sectors, elements and their mutual linkages. In order to study critical infrastructures, it is necessary to apply a systems approach based on cross-sectoral evaluation and research into the linkages between the individual critical infrastructure sectors. Specifically, it is necessary to describe the individual vertical and horizontal levels of each critical infrastructure and the associated linkages. From this point-of-view, a critical infrastructure is embedded within the broader context of emergencies and enterprises, representing a compact and mutually-interconnected system.This paper focuses on quantitatively assessing the impacts of critical infrastructure failures. It presents a theory of synergistic linkages, their levels and the synergistic effects due to the joint action of impacts, which increase the overall impact on the critical infrastructure and on society. The concepts are formalized in the SYNEFIA methodology, which is applied in a case study involving the critical infrastructure of the Czech Republic. In particular, the methodology is applied to determine the synergistic effects of disruptions to multiple sub-sectors of the Czech infrastructure.
机译:关键基础设施是一个复杂的系统,其故障(全部或部分)会对国家利益(包括安全,经济和基本人类需求)产生重大影响。该系统由相关部门,要素及其相互联系组成。为了研究关键基础设施,有必要应用基于跨部门评估和研究各个关键基础设施部门之间联系的系统方法。具体来说,有必要描述每个关键基础架构以及相关链接的各个垂直和水平级别。从这个角度来看,关键基础设施嵌入了更广泛的紧急情况和企业环境中,代表了一个紧凑且相互关联的系统。本文着重于定量评估关键基础设施故障的影响。它提出了一种协同联系的理论,它们之间的关系以及由于影响的共同作用而产生的协同作用,从而增加了对关键基础设施和社会的总体影响。这些概念在SYNEFIA方法中正式化,并在涉及捷克共和国关键基础设施的案例研究中应用。特别是,该方法学被用于确定中断对捷克基础设施多个子行业的协同效应。

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