The goal of this thesis is to develop a model that Commander Naval Air Forces Pacific (CNAP) can use to estimate future TACAIR F/A-18 Aviation Depot Level Repair (AVDLR) costs. The thesis is divided into three sections. The first section discusses the methodology used to create a cost estimation model. The second and third sections provide the results of the modelαs outcomes and compares and analyzes those results to the actual results. The modelαs estimate was 19% below Fiscal Year 2001αs actual costs. This shortfall was caused by a 27% increase in Navy C modelαs AVDLR costs, which is more than twice their average annual cost increase. Since Navy C models represent over 60% of CNAPαs total TACAIR F/A-18 AVDLR costs, this unexpected increase in costs is the major contributor to the modelαs 19% difference from its estimate. In order to correct this difference in the future it is recommended that the model shift from estimating yearly costs to estimating quarterly costs to become a more accurate cost-estimating model.
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机译：本文的目的是开发一个模型，海军太平洋司令部（CNAP）可以使用该模型来估算未来的TACAIR F / A-18航空仓库维修水平（AVDLR）成本。本文分为三个部分。第一部分讨论用于创建成本估算模型的方法。第二部分和第三部分提供了模型结果的结果，并将这些结果与实际结果进行比较和分析。该模型的估计比2001财年的实际成本低19％。造成这种短缺的原因是海军C模型的AVDLR成本增加了27％，是其平均每年成本增加额的两倍以上。由于海军C型飞机占CNAP TACAIR F / A-18 AVDLR总成本的60％以上，因此成本的意外增加是该模型与其估计值相差19％的主要原因。为了将来纠正这种差异，建议将模型从估计年度成本转换为估计季度成本，以成为更准确的成本估算模型。
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