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Submarine and missile requirements as a function of the number of missiles per submarine neutralization probability

机译:潜艇和导弹需求随潜艇中和概率的导弹数量而变化

摘要

Statistical effects of changing the number of strategic missiles carried on each missile submarine are explored in this study. The number of submarines required so that a specific number of missiles will survive an enemy 'first strike' and be available for retaliation is determined using a simple binomial model of survival. The measures of effectiveness used are (1) the numbers of submarines and missiles initially required in the submarine-missile system and (2) the total system cost. It is demonstrated that changes in submarine neutralization probability could be the dominating factor in selecting submarine size. A statistical basis is provided for evaluation of potential changes in this neutralization probability
机译:本研究探讨了改变每艘导弹潜艇上载有战略导弹的数量的统计效果。使用简单的生存二项式模型来确定使特定数量的导弹能够在敌人的“第一次打击”中幸存并进行报复所需的潜艇数量。所采用的有效性措施是:(1)潜射导弹系统最初需要的潜艇和导弹数量,以及(2)系统总成本。事实证明,潜艇中和概率的变化可能是选择潜艇尺寸的主要因素。为评估此中和概率的潜在变化提供了统计依据

著录项

  • 作者

    Tysver Joseph Bryce;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 1975
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en_US
  • 中图分类

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