首页> 外文OA文献 >Forecasting the electricity load from one day to one week ahead for the Spanish system operator
【2h】

Forecasting the electricity load from one day to one week ahead for the Spanish system operator

机译:预测西班牙系统运营商提前一天到一周的电力负荷

代理获取
本网站仅为用户提供外文OA文献查询和代理获取服务,本网站没有原文。下单后我们将采用程序或人工为您竭诚获取高质量的原文,但由于OA文献来源多样且变更频繁,仍可能出现获取不到、文献不完整或与标题不符等情况,如果获取不到我们将提供退款服务。请知悉。

摘要

This paper discusses the building process and models used by Red Eléctrica de España (REE), the Spanish system operator, inshort term electricity load forecasting. REE's forecasting system consists of one daily model and 24 hourly models with a commonstructure. There are two types of forecasts of special interest to REE, several days ahead predictions for daily data, and one dayahead hourly forecasts. Accordingly, the forecast accuracy is assessed in terms of their errors. To do this, we analyse historical, realtime forecasting errors for daily and hourly data for the year 2006, and report the forecasting performance by day of the week, timeof the year and type of day. Other aspects of the prediction problem, like the influence of the errors in predicting the temperature onforecasting the load several days ahead, or the need for an adequate treatment of special days, are also investigated.
机译:本文讨论了西班牙系统运营商RedEléctricadeEspaña(REE)在短期电力负荷预测中使用的构建过程和模型。 REE的预测系统由一个每日模型和一个具有共同结构的24小时模型组成。 REE有两种特别重要的预测类型,即每日数据的提前几天预测和每小时的提前一天预测。因此,根据其误差评估了预测准确性。为此,我们分析了2006年每日和每小时数据的历史,实时预测误差,并按星期几,一年中的时间和一天的类型报告了预测效果。还研究了预测问题的其他方面,例如预测温度时的误差对预测几天前的负载的影响,或需要对特殊天数进行适当处理。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
代理获取

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号