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A multivariate analysis of the causal flow between renewable energy consumption and GDP in Tunisia

机译:对突尼斯可再生能源消费与GDp之间因果关系的多元分析

摘要

This paper examines the causality linkages between economic growth, renewable energy consumption, CO2 emissions and domestic investment in Tunisia between 1971 and 2010. Using the ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration, long-run relationships between the variables are identified. The Granger causality analysis, on the other hand, indicates that there is bi-directional causality between renewable energy consumption and economic growth, which supports the feedback hypothesis in Tunisia. In addition, the quantity of CO2 emissions collapses as a reaction to an increase in renewable energy consumption. These findings remain robust even when controlling for the presence of structural break. We conclude that more efforts should be undertaken to further develop a suitable infrastructure to the renewable energy sector, given its enhancing-effects on economic growth and reducing-effects on CO2 emissions.
机译:本文研究了1971年至2010年间突尼斯经济增长,可再生能源消耗,CO2排放与国内投资之间的因果关系。使用ARDL边界检验方法进行协整,确定了变量之间的长期关系。另一方面,格兰杰因果关系分析表明,可再生能源消费与经济增长之间存在双向因果关系,这支持了突尼斯的反馈假设。另外,由于对可再生能源消耗的增加,CO2排放量减少。这些发现即使在控制结构性断裂的存在时仍然保持稳健。我们得出结论,鉴于可再生能源部门对经济增长的增强作用和对二氧化碳排放量的减少影响,应进一步努力为可再生能源部门开发合适的基础设施。

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