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SYSTEM, METHOD, AND COMPUTER PROGRAM PRODUCT FOR PREDICTING THE VALUE OF AN IDEA BASED ON CROWD INPUT

机译:基于人群输入预测思想价值的系统,方法和计算机程序产品

摘要

The disclosure is directed to a system, method, and computer program for predicting the value of an idea based on crowd input. Users are prompted to vote as to whether variables for an idea (e.g., cost, time to implement, revenue/cost-savings) are greater than or less than proposed values. The proposed values are derived from probability distributions for the variables. Each time a vote is received for a variable, a new probability distribution for the variable is created, wherein parameters of the distribution (e.g., mean, shape parameter) are based on the vote data. The polling continues for each of the variables until a poll termination event occurs. The mean of the final probability distribution for each variable represents the system's estimate (or prediction) of the crowd's consensus value for the variable. Ideas are ranked based on the final consensus value estimates for the ideas.
机译:本公开针对一种用于基于人群输入来预测思想的价值的系统,方法和计算机程序。系统会提示用户对某个想法的变量(例如,成本,实施时间,收入/成本节省)大于或小于建议值进行投票。建议值是从变量的概率分布中得出的。每次接收到变量的投票时,都会为该变量创建新的概率分布,其中分布的参数(例如均值,形状参数)基于投票数据。继续对每个变量进行轮询,直到发生轮询终止事件。每个变量的最终概率分布的平均值表示系统对该变量的人群共识值的估计(或预测)。根据想法的最终共识价值估算对想法进行排名。

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